Krugman posts this graph to demonstrate dispel the myth that recessions never happened with a gold standard.
Despite the fact that no one really believes that recessions never happened under the gold standard, the cause of such downturns was the result of fractional reserve banking, not the gold standard. Apparently a 5 year downturn cured through the market correction process is worse than the 20 years of economic stagnation caused by a Fed induced boom known as the Great Depression. From the looks of it, I bet the current recession will last a hell of a lot longer than 5 years as well.
And how exactly was the unemployment rate calculated in 1893? Did the measure account for what I guess would be considered "under the table" work? Considering a lot of the population was transferring into the industrial age but was still very agrarian, did the measure account for that either? I looked on the Historical Statistics Millennial Edition website Krugman claims to have gotten the graph from but didn't see anything to answer such questions.
Minggu, 30 Januari 2011
Sabtu, 29 Januari 2011
Political Correctness Strikes at the Heart of Liberalism
And by the heart of liberalism, I mean MSNBC of course.
According to the Daily Caller:
According to the Daily Caller:
MSNBC host Ed Schultz announced Thursday on his radio show that his “Psycho Talk” segment had been discontinued by MSNBC executives.What's psycho is continuing to have Ed Schultz on the air. At least Olbermann (formerly), Maddow, O'Donnell and such use unnecessary important sounding words to argue their equally illogical views. Schultz is just an angry left-leaning Rush Limbaugh without the drug history and bravado to back it up.
Kamis, 27 Januari 2011
How Good Government Works...
This was big news in the capital yesterday and may be a preview of coming attractions.
In other news, the Paul father and son team have made some big moves recently. Ron Paul introduced another bill to audit the Fed completely. It has 56 co-sponsors. Meanwhile, Rand Paul, who I honestly was not so sure about, introduced a proposal to cut $500 billion in federal government spending which eliminates the Dept. of Energy, Housing and Urban Development, the Government Printing Office, Amtrak subsidies, and a decent chunk of the Dept. of Education, plus a bunch of other cuts. I don't see it passing, but Rand gets an A for effort. And now he plans to introduce another proposal to deal with Social Security by raising the retirement age to 70 and implementing means testing. Again, I am not holding my breath for it to pass, but damn is he ever trying.
Rabu, 26 Januari 2011
First Slate Column of the Semester
Making Political Sense: Gov. Corbett Critics Speak Up
By: James E. Miller
Published 01/25/2011Last week, Tom Corbett was inaugurated as the 46th governor of the state of Pennsylvania. While his election was undoubtedly due to the national Tea Party wave of antiincumbency and outrage over the size and spending of government, Gov. Corbett has a bigger issue to deal with besides downsizing his own office.
Certainly reducing the size of the state government amid falling tax revenue is a necessary cause. What is more pressing, however, is the means by which Corbett deals with the vast reserves of Marcellus Shale natural gas that runs under much of Pennsylvania. The stance he takes may end up being the focal point of his first term as governor.
With the extraction of Marcellus Shale comes the prospect of thousands of jobs to a state suffering from an unemployment rate of 8.1 percent. At the same time, however, comes a raging collision of environmentalists who, though once being in favor of natural gas over coal and oil, are now against drilling because of understandable environmental concerns.
These environmentalists, who were ironically shuttled into Harrisburg by a pink-colored and gasoline-powered bus, protested at Corbett’s inauguration because of his expected pro-drilling stance.
Without a potential moratorium to stop extraction all-together, the only way to stem the natural gas drilling appears to be taxing the industry at a high enough percentage to sup- press what looks to be a booming industry.
Unfortunately for the opponents of drilling, Corbett campaigned on not raising taxes if elected. Even more unfortunate is that many actually believed him and voted him into office accordingly.
Soon after taking the “no tax” pledge, Corbett let it be known that he would consider charging “royalty fees” to those who benefit from drilling. This includes companies and homeowners who lease out their property for drilling. Hate to break it to you Tom, but a “royalty fee” imposed by the state is no different from a tax.
That has not stopped the protesting environmentalists though. Ever since 1889 when Pres. William McKinley signed the “Rivers and Harbors Act” into law, the federal government has been taking sole ownership of various parts of the country in the name of creating “public land” for the purpose of “protecting” the environment.
States have certainly engaged in this practice as well, but government at both levels did not begin to significantly impose environmental conservatism till the beginning of the 20th century.
While the government taking monopolistic control over parts of land is a simple and short-term solution for protecting the environment from pollution, what environmentalists fail to recognize is that the land-grabbing they promote is actually more detrimental to the public in the long run.
All government acquisition of land ends up doing is driving up the costs to prospective buyers because property is effectively taken off the market. At the same time, it provides a kind of “tragedy of commons” mentality in that the land is now seen as a fertile dumping ground since it has no concrete ownership.
Robert P. Murphy, an adjunct scholar and economics professor at the Ludwig von Mises Institute, has already pointed out how capitalism and a strict adherence to private property rights are incredibly beneficial to the environment in his book “The Politically Incorrect Guide to Capitalism.”
Murphy points out that free markets encourage conservation in that any practical businessman or woman strives to preserve the value of his or her land by not damaging it through pollution, while upholding property rights serves as a deterrent, and punishment in some cases, to polluting other’s property.
He also shows how animals that are legal to sell and are treated as strict commodities, such as cows, chickens and fish remain
in plentiful supply while animals facing extinction were not awarded such a luxury.
While Murphy is generally correct, he misses an important point that makes his argument stronger.
As our society progresses and population grows grows, a kind of natural expansion will occur due to most people’s innate desire for privacy.
As this happens, the demand for a more natural and aesthetically pleasing environment will grow as more and more land is developed. If one were to come along and treat the land as a commodity, the profit incentive would enhance the need for conservation of the land in order to draw more people in.
No matter how much society progresses and develops, there will continue to be a desire by people to enjoy a setting far away from the technological achievements and industrial developments that have increased our standard of living.
By taking advantage of the simple supply and demand mechanism that guides a market economy, the environment could be better preserved by using its natural beauty as a product to sell, not just to preserve.
While I am not holding my breath for Gov. Corbett to keep his “no tax” pledge, I am certainly not expecting environmental groups to change their view anytime soon.
Doing so would be the changing of short-term satisfaction for long-term prosperity. Environmentalists may claim to see the proverbial forest for the trees, but fail to see the rationality through their own ignorance.
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Only editing problem I see is the hyphen in sup-press. I am not sure what makes it different from suppress.
Anyway, I saw on Fox 43 news this morning that McDonald's is supposed to raise prices this year. Soon enough the dollar won't be worth using as a napkin, let alone buying a mcdouble. Keep the presses rolling Bernanke!
Selasa, 25 Januari 2011
State of the Union drinking game
A shot for all 18 mentions of "jobs" in 60 minutes = comatose
At least that's what I counted...
Decent parts of speech:
1. Getting rid of oil company subsidies
2. Lower corporate tax rate without adding to deficit
3. Simplify tax code, whatever that means
4. Veto bills with earmarks
5. Get rid of health care bill provision for 1099 form*
6. Shot at TSA
*only part I see actually happening
Replacing oil company subsidies with subsidies for clean-energy companies? Sounds like Jeff Immelt's new position is working wonders for GE.
I will be incredibly surprised if Obama actually keeps his pledge to veto bills with earmarks, earmarks will just be hidden even more in legislation.
If you are going to take a shot at TSA, how about doing the honorable thing and abolishing it and save people the humiliation of exposing their genitalia to strangers for the sake of avoiding a pat-down that would result in a lawsuit for anyone else who performed it. All it takes is a signature.
At least that's what I counted...
Decent parts of speech:
1. Getting rid of oil company subsidies
2. Lower corporate tax rate without adding to deficit
3. Simplify tax code, whatever that means
4. Veto bills with earmarks
5. Get rid of health care bill provision for 1099 form*
6. Shot at TSA
*only part I see actually happening
Replacing oil company subsidies with subsidies for clean-energy companies? Sounds like Jeff Immelt's new position is working wonders for GE.
I will be incredibly surprised if Obama actually keeps his pledge to veto bills with earmarks, earmarks will just be hidden even more in legislation.
If you are going to take a shot at TSA, how about doing the honorable thing and abolishing it and save people the humiliation of exposing their genitalia to strangers for the sake of avoiding a pat-down that would result in a lawsuit for anyone else who performed it. All it takes is a signature.
Senin, 24 Januari 2011
Nixon and Treasury closed gold window, not Burn's Fed
John Tamny of Forbes came out with a great review of The Secret Diary of Arthur Burns: 1969-1974 today. What makes Tamny great is that he is the only writer for Forbes that preaches Austrian economic policy from what I have seen. So what better perspective to review a diary of the Fed Chairman that presided over the complete cutting off of the gold standard? Besides a few shots at the intelligence of the various characters in Nixon's administration, nothing really stands out beside this ridiculous quote:
“I explained a proposal I had put up to Grayson and his Commission, namely, pick some number below 21/2% – say, 2%; inform business firms that they may, if their business judgment so indicates, raise prices up to that figure; that they could do so without prenotification, but that they would still need to report the price advance, that they would need to justify it on the grounds of cost increase; and that they could run the risk of a rollback if the justification did not stand up under analysis.”
Un-freaking believable!
Still, the diary shows that Burns actually fought to stop the complete abandonment of the gold standard after all. Could of fooled me.... Anyway, he correctly predicted it would lead to trade war between countries. It's like he anticipated a president using the State of the Union to promote "American competitiveness" against that awful country that supplies us with real tangible goods like clothing and cheap electronics in return for a continually devalued currency.
Speaking of the State of the Union, George Will's brilliant description of it as an instance when every president that gives it "tries to stroke every erogenous zone in the electorate" easily goes down as the most intelligent political commentary of the year thus far. We all know where Chris Matthews stands on the issue...
Minggu, 23 Januari 2011
Interactive Pension Liability Map
Awesome interactive map showing each state's unfunded pension liabilities for public employees. Good for the next time you decide to argue with the president of your local chapter of AFSCME.
Sabtu, 22 Januari 2011
The Right Kind of Social Justice
I was just watching Geraldo at Large on Fox New, which isn't exactly one my regularly viewed shows. Though the story is a few months old, Geraldo brought up the issue of the infamous balloon boy. If you don't know the story (basically meaning you live under a rock) please Google it. Anyway, the father who most likely hoaxed the whole story is unable to find a job anywhere. During the show, a clip was shown of him telling a reporter (not sure of what network the reporter was from) that he applied to four separate jobs but was turned down to the position due to the debacle.
Social justice?
It just goes to show that without government intervention and such, a kind of natural law takes effect and basically determines the future lifestyle for the father who apparently lied and perpetuated a hoax for the sake of publicity. Government, beside the disbursement of law enforcement officers when the weather balloon crashed and taking up of court procedures thereafter, had nothing to do with preventing the employment of the father. If that isn't proof of how a society built upon the reputation of individuals trying to make a living outside government assistance, I don't know what is.
Update- I can't believe I forgot to mention it but R.I.P. Keith Olbermann on MSNBC. I don't know about you but I would love to see him get a show on Fox, not CNN.
Jumat, 21 Januari 2011
Another Great Ron Paul Quote
By far the most insightful reaction to the Tuscon shooting:
I cannot stress how absolutely true this is. Sometimes it takes a bit of tough love and plain language to explain that safety is not guaranteed in a free society. It is the price you ultimately pay.
Update: New New Hampshire presidential straw poll by the state's republican party came out today. Mr. Establishment himself, Mitt Romney, comes out on top with 35% of the vote. Just when I was starting to seriously doubt the state, who comes in at second with 11%? Ron Paul! Other establishment figures such as Pawlenty, Palin, Bachmann, and Gingrich are on the list, but no mention of former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson. Something tells me that Ron Paul's age may ultimately prevent him from running for president again. In that case, Gov. Johnson would be the next best choice. Considering his meager notoriety, it would definitely be an uphill battle.
Our constitutional right to bear arms does not create a society without risks of violent crime, and neither would the strictest gun control laws. Guns and violence are a fact of life. The question is whether it is preferable to be defenseless while waiting for the police, or to have the option to arm yourself. We certainly know criminals prefer the former.
I cannot stress how absolutely true this is. Sometimes it takes a bit of tough love and plain language to explain that safety is not guaranteed in a free society. It is the price you ultimately pay.
Update: New New Hampshire presidential straw poll by the state's republican party came out today. Mr. Establishment himself, Mitt Romney, comes out on top with 35% of the vote. Just when I was starting to seriously doubt the state, who comes in at second with 11%? Ron Paul! Other establishment figures such as Pawlenty, Palin, Bachmann, and Gingrich are on the list, but no mention of former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson. Something tells me that Ron Paul's age may ultimately prevent him from running for president again. In that case, Gov. Johnson would be the next best choice. Considering his meager notoriety, it would definitely be an uphill battle.
Kamis, 20 Januari 2011
Not sure how to feel...
Union sues over Haley's remarks about Boeing plant
South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley is facing her first big lawsuit after saying the state would try to keep unions out of the Boeing Inc. plant in North Charleston. The lawsuit filed Thursday in U.S. District Court in Charleston by the International Association of Machinists and AFL-CIO asked for a court order telling Haley and her director of the Department of Labor, Licensing and Regulation to butt out and remain neutral in matters concerning union activities.
"There's no secret I don't like the unions," Haley said when asked about the litigation. "We are a right-to-work state. I will do everything I can to defend the fact we are a right-to-work state. We are pro-business by nature. I want us to continue to be pro-business. If they don't like what I said, I'm sorry, that's how I feel."
If you are against the government taking sides with unions in order to promote their agenda, its tough to rectify how then you would be on the side of government when it too is against unions. Government non-interference in the private market shouldn't mean making exceptions. From a natural rights perspective, I suppose seeing the government enforce "right to work" laws may fall within the domain of natural rights, but I can't help but feel a bit wary into accepting that position. Though the right to life does seem to incorporate being able to work, this notion has historically been used to enforce labor regulations which have been far more destructive then their intended purpose, hence my reluctance.
This of course doesn't apply to the public sector of course since the head executive (in the case of the article, the governor) is essentially the boss and holds the right to manage how they see fit. Once I figure it out, I want to embed this awesome interactive map which shows each state's underfunded pension obligations, of which public sectors unions have been significant as causing.
Rabu, 19 Januari 2011
Paul Krugman acknowledges Robert P. Murhpy
In a recent blog post, Krugman makes a couple straw man arguments against the Austrian theory. First off, the Austrian view isn't really "sweeping the G.O.P." Keeping tax cuts for everyone, though good, is only a small aspect of the Austrian reasoning. The fact that the continued tax cut extension was not paid for, resulting in an increase in the deficit by $900 billion, with other spending cuts shows Republicans are just as Keynesian as their Democrat counterparts.
Second, Austrians don't argue that economic booms, caused by the Fed's easy credit policies and low interest rates (Krugman neglects to point this out of course), results in the unemployed with "nothing else to do." It argues that the employees who are subsequently laid off from industries that turned out to be unsustainable investments due to the the distortions of market signals in the initial capital formation businesses engage in results in workers in those sectors needing to move into more viable sectors of the economy. They aren't left with "nothing else to do" when the money runs out, they must adjust to ever changing economic conditions. Government propping up failing businesses such as the banking sector and the auto industry just delays the market clearing itself.
Krugman asks for positive evidence, I guess the housing boom, the dot.com boom, 1970's stagnation caused by low interest rates, and the stock market boom and bust that caused the Great Depression aren't proof enough. Meanwhile, increased government spending, what Krugman continually advocates for, didn't stop the Depression from lasting nearly 20 years and has yet to end the current slump.
And for all the "cosmic talk about the complexity of production and how measured investment may not show what's really happening" by Austrians, there exists just as much "cosmic talk" around the Keynesian models which have yet to cure a major economic downturn in the U.S.
And like Jonathan of Economicthought.net points out, Keynes basically challenged the same period of economic theory that Krugman claims Austrians are challenging. While Austrians critique the past 70 years of Keynesian dominance, Keynes did the same to many decades of Say's Law dominance.
Still, its nice to see Krugman acknowledging the ABCT under its actual name rather than the "hangover theory."
This is the Murphy article which Krugman attempted to criticize.
Update: Please donate to the debate. Only $40,000 away!
Senin, 17 Januari 2011
E-Mail to Jamie Weinstein of The Daily Caller
Ron Paul, “The Aging Revolutionary” – If the Texas congressman ran, won the GOP primary and then won the presidential election – two of those are absolutely inconceivable – he would be the oldest first-term president in American history. Unfortunately for Paul, his age is the least of his problems. It is hard to see how the GOP electorate would elect a leader with his isolationist tendencies. Much of his base of support is also drawn from the loony bin.
The above is what Mr. Weinstein writes about Ron Paul in his recent column about potential Republican candidates for the 2012 presidential race.
Here is my email reply:
One would think that a potential G.O.P. candidate who has never voted for a tax increase or an unbalanced budget in the thirty plus years he has been in Congress would receive more support from the Republican establishment. If the loony bin is where Ron Paul supporters are from, than the loony bin is where we gladly reside.
Update:
Weinstein's response:
I wrote "isolationist tendencies," which I believe is undeniably true.
Thanks for the comment.
Best,
Jamie WeinsteinMy reply:
I think "non-interventionist" is more accurate term. Again, applying the term "isolationist" to Ron Paul's foreign policy stance is a misnomer for his supposed unwillingness to engage in trade with other countries for the sake of promoting "American jobs." If one were to actually look into Paul's stance, it is obvious that it is simply not the case.
First Mises Daily!
My first Mises Daily article is up today, hopefully it won't be my last.
In other news, Bill Frezza has a fantastic article on RealClearMarkets.com today highlighting the U.N.'s perpetuation of poverty in third world countries, namely Mali. Nothing like reading about subsidized mud-housing for the sake of tourism revenue on Martin Luther King, Jr.'s birthday...
Sabtu, 15 Januari 2011
And It Continues...
JP Morgan Wins: CFTC Position Limits Do Not Apply (To Them)
So apparently when Frank-Dodd was passed, its was supposed to empower the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) to:
limit the amount of positions, other than bona fide hedge positions, that may be held by any person with respect to commodity futures and option contracts...
For the past few months, there has been a lot of hype going around about how JP Morgan could be literally taken down by buying large amounts of silver. The rationality was that they were supposedly short on silver futures by about 3.3 billion ounces. The theory is that JP Morgan is acting on the Fed's behalf to keep the price of silver low and in order to keep the value of the dollar from falling.
So what happens when the government steps up in the name of consumer protection in order to stop this kind of fraudulent behavior? Side with their friends in JP Morgan of course! According to the ZeroHedge article, the five members of the CFTC voted 4 to 1 to grandfather in JP Morgan to their new requirements rather than impose them on the supposed silver shorts.
Exemptions for bona fide hedging transactions (based on the Dodd-Frank Act’s new requirements for such transactions) and for positions that are established in good faith prior to the effective date of specific limits adopted pursuant to the proposed regulations.
So basically, the current big banks are protected while government regulations keep competitors from posing any significant challenge, thus preserving the status quo in the banking industry. Since I am not a finance expert, I am a little wary of the prospect of taking down one of the biggest banks in the country by just buying silver. Mish is wary as well and asks why JP would keep silver artificially cheap when they own so much of it and points out that they are hedged against it anyway.
All this CFTC ruling does is show just how embedded the big banks are in with the regulators and why a return to free banking is necessary. Look for my first Mises Daily article Monday (hopefully) to show how connected they have become just within the past month. Some, such as the author of the article Tyler Durden, have determined that the recent drop in silver prices by $2 is due to the ruling. I would relate it to a variety of factors including the dollar appreciating due to Bernanke money flowing and giving the expectation of strong economic growth and the chaos in Europe right now. But hey, what do I know? I will probably look into this issue more to understand it better and see if I missed anything so look for updates.
Jumat, 14 Januari 2011
Former Carter pollster Pat Caddell: NY Times columnist Krugman "a flat-out asshole"
Didn't need to read the article, title was enough. It's just common knowledge.
Update- This conversation from the article is absolute gold:
LEVY: Pat, you called Krugman a real “a-hole.” New tone please, new tone? We’re operating under a new tone.
CADDELL: I’m sorry, but the guy is outrageous. He’s the most disingenuous human being I know. And not only that, he’s not even a real economist.
LEVY: I agree with you, but what you need to say is that, “Krugman is an opening at the opposite end of his digestive tract from his mouth, the function of which is to control the expulsion of feces.
Update- Why can't the Paul Krugman of today be like the Paul Krugman of 1996?
Ayn Rand and Capitalist Environmentalism
So I am well over 3/4's of the way done with The Fountainhead, and though I don't find it nearly as phenomenal as Atlas Shrugged, it is still an interesting read that deals with a few select topics that Shrugged didn't get into from what I remember. One of those topics is that of capitalist environmentalism, though I doubt Rand really meant for it to be an issue to consider.
On page 507, Rand describes Monadnock Valley, a kind of summer resort protagonist Howard Roark built that was ultimately meant to be a failure:
Why not offer these people (in reference to those with modest income) a place where, for a week or a month, at small cost, they could have what they wanted and needed?...Don't touch the hillsides, don't blast and level them down. Not one huge ant pile of an hotel--but small houses hidden from one another, each a private estate...
I think this passage in particular is clearly demonstrative of how environmentalism could work in a purely capitalist society. While the left and environmentalists alike are understandably wary of businesses exploiting the destroying the environment, they often advocate for such measures as utilizing the government's authority to either take full control of the land or intervene into business practices in an effort to regulate how waste is disposed of. Both of which drive up costs for consumers as land decreases in supply since it is taken off the market and businesses pass down the cost of regulations to the population. And it should also be mentioned that job opportunities are lost as well when the government prevents companies from coming in and extracting natural resources that are high in demand.
While others, such as Robert P. Murphy, have outlines how a society's strict adherence to private property rights would prevent most environmental pollution from occurring due to the fear of lawsuits and desire to preserve the value of land, there is another aspect of capitalist environmentalism that is not mentioned so much. What Roark does in Monadnock Valley is take advantage of the demand people have for a natural setting and a serene vacation spot. As our society progresses and population grows, a kind of natural expansion will occur due to most people's innate desire for privacy. As this happens, the demand for a more natural and aesthetically pleasing environment will grow as more and more land is developed. All government confiscation of this land does it keep it off limits of private ownership and encourage exploitation whenever some feel like they can the risk legal penalties to do such things as dumping tires, batteries, waste, etc...
If one were to come along, as Roark does, and treat the land as a commodity, the profit incentive would enhance the need for conservation of the land in order to draw more people in. No matter how much society progresses and develops, there will continue to be a desire by people to enjoy a setting far away from the technological achievements and industrial developments that have increased our standard of living.
On a less theoretical note, I got through to Washington Journal on C-Span this morning and asked a relatively simple question to Bloomberg's David Welch. In regards to the U.S. auto industry, which was the topic of discussion, I asked that if Mussolini defined fascism as privatizing the gains and socializing the losses, and hypothetically if the government were to experience a loss on its bailing out of GM and Chrysler, is it or is it not fascism by definition? While Mr. Welch's facial expression during the question was quite humorous, he denied that it was fascism and went on to say how unpopular the bailouts were but that GM was recovering well. Once the Volt starts selling more than 350 a month, I will concede that GM is recovering well, despite the fact that bankruptcy saved it, not a bailout.
Update- here is the video of Washington Journal, I come in somewhere at the midpoint...
Kamis, 13 Januari 2011
As if unions haven't done enough...
Surely everyone remembers the union-engineered work slowdown New York City sanitation workers engaged in a few weeks ago in the midst of a snow storm. In retaliation of budget cuts, many workers neglected to plow major roadways in protest; clearly showing their dedication to the plight of the common worker by making their commute much more dangerous.
The act alone is demonstrative of the kind of hypocritical mindset that is inherent to many labor unions. While those who promote collective bargaining do so on the basis of helping the common worker, once a union has been established in a company, consumers as a whole end up losing. George Reisman explains here (warning- its awfully long but worth the read) how unions demanding immediate higher wages correlates into higher prices for consumers in that the company must engage in short term bolstering of wages which leaves less money to invest in capital goods and long term profitability. By losing money to invest in capital goods production, there are less opportunities for those unfortunate enough to not have a job. Hayek explains here:
The act alone is demonstrative of the kind of hypocritical mindset that is inherent to many labor unions. While those who promote collective bargaining do so on the basis of helping the common worker, once a union has been established in a company, consumers as a whole end up losing. George Reisman explains here (warning- its awfully long but worth the read) how unions demanding immediate higher wages correlates into higher prices for consumers in that the company must engage in short term bolstering of wages which leaves less money to invest in capital goods and long term profitability. By losing money to invest in capital goods production, there are less opportunities for those unfortunate enough to not have a job. Hayek explains here:
So what does the president of a country suffering from a 9.4% unemployment rate do? Promote more unionization of course! As Ralph Reiland writes today in Mises Daily, the National Labor Relations Board has begun to consider a federal rule which would force private employers to display pro-union posters in "break rooms or prominent locations." Reiland then goes on to list statistics showing how the United Auto Workers have crippled General Motors.
From my experience in the Labor Relations class I took last semester, there tends to be no use in arguing economic theory with union proponents. The idea of forcing evil managers and capitalists to pay you a $1 more an hour is just too tempting to consider any long term benefits and profitability a company and its workers could experience with flexible wages and hiring policies.
Public employee unions will be in for quite the surprise when the upcoming bond bubble bursts and many state and local municipalities face bankruptcy. Tax increases won't be the easy answer either judging by Illinois Governor Pat Quinn having to exit through the state capital's basement after debating a raising of the state sales tax from 3% to 5.25%.
Update- Apparently Wisconsin has done the smart thing and decided to take business traffic away from Illinois. When tax revenue begins to decline as businesses close shop and leave, Gov. Quinn is going to have to find some other way to appease the unions and not default instead of raising taxes. Too bad default, bankruptcy, and restructuring seems to be best chance at regaining fiscal solvency for Lincoln's home state.
Rabu, 12 Januari 2011
50 Cent and the S.E.C.
http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/41041141/ns/business-eye_on_the_economy/
Apparently over the weekend 50 Cent used his twitter to urge people to buy stocks of a company, H & H Imports, causing it to rise in price by 290%. Now that the stock price has gone down, I heard on CNN this morning that the S.E.C. may be investigating Mr. Jackson for some kind of insider trading maneuver. What I don't get is why the S.E.C. wastes their time and our money following cases like this. Robert Wenzel of Economic Policy Journal lays it out pretty well why insider trading should not be a crime. What 50 Cent did was basically offer free publicity, he wasn't forcing anyone to purchase stocks of H & H, just recommending it. Doesn't Jim Cramer do that on his show every night? Isn't the point of celebrity endorsements to spur sales? So why doesn't Troy Polamalu get investigated for endorsing Head and Shoulders in idiotic commercials? The only reason I can fathom is that Polamalu encourages the purchase of a product while 50 Cent encouraged the purchase of stocks, both of which still correlate into a company's success.
To put it bluntly, the S.E.C.'s cat-and-mouse game with insider trading is both wasteful with our tax money and creates a more complicated business environment where more resources are dedicated to avoiding criminal charges rather than improving the company for both the shareholders and consumers.
On a more humorous note, my car finally passed the 200,000 mile mark about a month ago, so I figured now is the time to load its rear end with bumper stickers before its too late. Keep it mind, its also about 23 years old. I just put these two bumper stickers on yesterday:

I am still trying to figure out the whole formatting thing with pictures and posts so please bear with me.
*Update*- Charles Krauthammer's op-ed today ends with a great line in reference to Paul Krugman's reaction to Tuscon, Arizona:
"The origins of Loughner's delusions are clear: mental illness. What are the origins of Krugman's?"
John Stossel also has a good take on the call to increase security for Congressmen and women.
Selasa, 11 Januari 2011
Think today's political rhetoric is bad?
Reason has a pretty good example of a campaign add, oh, about 200 years old. You know, back when civility and peace reigned over our political discourse:
http://www.youtube.com/user/ReasonTV#p/u/52/Y_zTN4BXvYI
(Thanks to Donald J. Boudreaux of Cafe Hayek)
I could think of something worse than "hatchet-faced nutmeg dealer" to call Abraham Lincoln but regardless; anyone that has studied presidential history in this country knows that political discourse has always been rather crude and slightly provocative. Sarah Palin saying "don't retreat, reload!" and President Obama wanting to bring a gun to a G.O.P. knife fight should not come as surprising rhetoric.
George Will, being George Will, lays it very well in his column today: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/01/10/AR2011011003685.html
As far as I can tell, politicians both on the left and right will act in a predictable reactionary manner to further the restrictions on guns and speech.
This is already evident:
http://dailycaller.com/2011/01/11/rep-peter-king-to-introduce-bill-making-it-illegal-to-carry-a-gun-within-1000-feet-of-high-profile-government-official/
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/01/09/live-blog-latest-developments-on-arizona-shooting/?src=twt&twt=thecaucus#bill-to-ban-crosshairs
Jake Tapper of ABC also has the audacity to claim that civil libertarians are to blame because an older family member told him it was easier to have people like Loughner "locked up" decades ago. I would really like to hear the reasoning and rationale behind what he is saying. Did people decades ago have regular psychiatric screenings? Were parents more prone to have their kids committed? I hardly see the connection between the rights civil libertarians are in favor of (which by the way have been incredibly eroded since the New Deal) and Loughner not getting the help he needed. If Tapper is in favor of mandatory psychiatric screenings, he should come out and directly say it. To his credit, Tapper admits he wants to learn more about the topic, but making an assertion such as civil libertarians causing the Loughner shooting without any direct evidence is quite the claim for a mainstream news reporter.
*Update* Robert Wenzel has more examples of the kind of civility the founding fathers had when addressing each other.
http://www.youtube.com/user/ReasonTV#p/u/52/Y_zTN4BXvYI
(Thanks to Donald J. Boudreaux of Cafe Hayek)
I could think of something worse than "hatchet-faced nutmeg dealer" to call Abraham Lincoln but regardless; anyone that has studied presidential history in this country knows that political discourse has always been rather crude and slightly provocative. Sarah Palin saying "don't retreat, reload!" and President Obama wanting to bring a gun to a G.O.P. knife fight should not come as surprising rhetoric.
George Will, being George Will, lays it very well in his column today: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/01/10/AR2011011003685.html
As far as I can tell, politicians both on the left and right will act in a predictable reactionary manner to further the restrictions on guns and speech.
This is already evident:
http://dailycaller.com/2011/01/11/rep-peter-king-to-introduce-bill-making-it-illegal-to-carry-a-gun-within-1000-feet-of-high-profile-government-official/
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/01/09/live-blog-latest-developments-on-arizona-shooting/?src=twt&twt=thecaucus#bill-to-ban-crosshairs
Jake Tapper of ABC also has the audacity to claim that civil libertarians are to blame because an older family member told him it was easier to have people like Loughner "locked up" decades ago. I would really like to hear the reasoning and rationale behind what he is saying. Did people decades ago have regular psychiatric screenings? Were parents more prone to have their kids committed? I hardly see the connection between the rights civil libertarians are in favor of (which by the way have been incredibly eroded since the New Deal) and Loughner not getting the help he needed. If Tapper is in favor of mandatory psychiatric screenings, he should come out and directly say it. To his credit, Tapper admits he wants to learn more about the topic, but making an assertion such as civil libertarians causing the Loughner shooting without any direct evidence is quite the claim for a mainstream news reporter.
*Update* Robert Wenzel has more examples of the kind of civility the founding fathers had when addressing each other.
Senin, 10 Januari 2011
Fantastic website for an even better show
http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/
I also highly recommend:
http://www.amazon.com/Seinfeld-Philosophy-about-Everything-Nothing/dp/0812694090/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1294694066&sr=1-1
You know, for those summer days when you are on break while volunteering at a hospital because the job market for your age bracket and credentials is relatively low.
I also highly recommend:
http://www.amazon.com/Seinfeld-Philosophy-about-Everything-Nothing/dp/0812694090/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1294694066&sr=1-1
You know, for those summer days when you are on break while volunteering at a hospital because the job market for your age bracket and credentials is relatively low.
Welcome
Hello everyone, after years of avoiding Facebook, I have succumbed to peer pressure and have decided to start blogging. If you haven't seen my latest piece and subsequent spat with Berkley's very own Brad Delong, I highly recommend you check it out:
http://www.economicthought.net/2010/12/delong-on-recession/
Big thanks to Jonathan of Economicthought.net for putting it up, unfortunately Mr. Delong was not as generous judging by his comments
Anyway, we will see how this blogging thing goes.
http://www.economicthought.net/2010/12/delong-on-recession/
Big thanks to Jonathan of Economicthought.net for putting it up, unfortunately Mr. Delong was not as generous judging by his comments
Anyway, we will see how this blogging thing goes.
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